The model calculator Algorithms estimates covid19 infection in the US might be three times higher than reported, it calculated that over 71 million people in the united states have been affected by the virus.
The model formulates daily predictions of both total and current b infections across the US and in 50 different countries affected by the virus that is affected by the virus.
It estimated that more than 71 million people in the US are currently infected with the virus by February 4, when there only 26.7million validated cases.
The model estimated that 7 million people in the country currently have an infection and are likely contagious. In other countries, the model also calculated far higher numbers of the infection than revealed.
The model estimated that the virus in UK should be approximately 25million instead of the 4million initially reported, while in Mexico it estimated the numbers should be 27.6 million instead of 1.9 initially stated.
The algorithm’s calculations are emanated from the number of documented death caused by the COVID 19 infection, rather than the number of confirmed cases from the lab.
It then bases its assumptions on the infection facility rate which is 0.66% due to the early pandemic data from china, it also considers other related factors such as; the average it takes for someone with the symptoms to die or recover.
Ultimately, it correlated its prognosis with the number of reported cases to calculate a ratio of confirmed to estimated infections.